As much as I respect Ed Cooley and what he's built at Providence, I could see this turning way south on them in Big East play. Their situation reminds me of Butler in 2013-2014, a team that played well above expectations in non-conference play and subsequently went 4-14 in conference. Not sure if goes that south for Providence, but I can easily see them going 6-12.
Now, I expect this to be a one year blip for them like it was for Butler (which went 12-6 in Big East play the next year and narrowly missed making the Sweet 16). However, this year they are much closer to the St. John's/DePaul end of the league and not the Marquette/Hall/Georgetown middle of the pack.