Marquette Prediction for Big East Conference

I think Marquette will finish in the Top 5 in the Big East with 10 wins and a number 10/11 seed in the NCAA Tournament. But to do this, Marquette has to get at least 2 wins in the first three games. Considering they are on the road against SH and 'Nova after tonight, the Georgetown game was a must win.

The SH game could tell us a lot. If the 'Quette steals a road game against SH it could be a sign of a very nice season for this young but talented MU team.

If Marquette doesn't win @SH in game 2, if will have to steal a game from a team projected in the Top 4 of the Big East and that will be a very difficult task, though not impossible.

Georgetown W
@ SH W
@ 'Nova L
SH W
DePaul W
@ Butler L
@ Creighton L
'Nova L
Providence W
@ St. John's W
@ DePaul W
Butler L
@Georgetown W
Xavier L
St. John's W
@ Providence W
@ Xavier L
Creighton L
@Big East Tournament (1-1)

Marquette Record Prior to Selection Sunday 20-12

We will see at least one or two upsets, hopefully more W's than L's.

VS

I would be pretty surprised if every conference foe was a sweep one way or the other.

Check that, I would be completely <expletive> shocked.

I had broken things down this way in my mind.

Out of the "botton" 5 - Gtown, SHU, Providence, SJU and Depaul
Sweep the home games
Win two of the road games
That gets you to 7 wins

Out of the Top 4 - X, Butler, Creighton, Villanova
Win two of the home games

That gets you to 9-9 in the conference with a solid resume and puts us on the bubble, but possibly just short. There will be upsets as we could easily lose one of those games at home to SHU but maybe we can replace that with another road win somewhere else.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by IrwinFletcher

I had broken things down this way in my mind.

Out of the "botton" 5 - Gtown, SHU, Providence, SJU and Depaul
Sweep the home games
Win two of the road games
That gets you to 7 wins

Out of the Top 4 - X, Butler, Creighton, Villanova
Win two of the home games

That gets you to 9-9 in the conference with a solid resume and puts us on the bubble, but possibly just short. There will be upsets as we could easily lose one of those games at home to SHU but maybe we can replace that with another road win somewhere else.

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That's a pretty good formula. Think we can get to 11 wins as we go 8-2 against that bottom 5, and 3-5 against the top four. Think we get Xavier and Butler at home, and get one win in four chances against Nova and Creighton. Now, I could see us losing a game we shouldn't against a bottom team, and finish at 10-8 overall. Last night proved that our floor should be in 8-9 win range, a strong showing Sunday could indicate that we are more of a 10-12 Big East win team.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by IrwinFletcher

I had broken things down this way in my mind.

Out of the "botton" 5 - Gtown, SHU, Providence, SJU and Depaul
Sweep the home games
Win two of the road games
That gets you to 7 wins

Out of the Top 4 - X, Butler, Creighton, Villanova
Win two of the home games

That gets you to 9-9 in the conference with a solid resume and puts us on the bubble, but possibly just short. There will be upsets as we could easily lose one of those games at home to SHU but maybe we can replace that with another road win somewhere else.

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I think that would leave us needing to win the Big East Tournament to get a bid. Maybe we'd sneak it by getting to the final and losing, but I doubt it. 9-9 and 18 total wins won't be enough.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by warriorfan4life

That's a pretty good formula. Think we can get to 11 wins as we go 8-2 against that bottom 5, and 3-5 against the top four. Think we get Xavier and Butler at home, and get one win in four chances against Nova and Creighton. Now, I could see us losing a game we shouldn't against a bottom team, and finish at 10-8 overall. Last night proved that our floor should be in 8-9 win range, a strong showing Sunday could indicate that we are more of a 10-12 Big East win team.

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I think we are just too incosistent to get to 11 wins and maybe even 10 wins. 8-2 against those 5 is still a pretty tall order. DePaul almost beat Villanova and SJU alwasy gives us problems for whatever reason. We will lose more than two games against those 5.

3-5 against 4 teams in the Top 20 is a really tough job. I thought two might even be a reach.

Pomeroy projection is up to 10-8 now with the Georgetown win and Providence moving the other direction giving us a decent chance to sweep them now.